iQ International Fund Risk On Risk Off Model
IMPORTANT! The model may heavily allocate to cash/money market in certain months.
INVESTMENT OBJECTIVE
The iQ International Fund Risk On Risk Off Model seeks to achieve capital appreciation with a focus on generating positive returns in both bull and sustained bear markets by tactically allocating between risk-on (international stock mutual funds) and risk-off (money market) assets.
RULES-BASED SELECTION PROCESS
The iQ International Fund Risk On Risk Off Model utilizes six unique quarterly technical strategies.
Each of the strategies represent 16.67% (or 1/6th) of the Model’s allocation. If all six of the factors are “risk on”, then 100% of the Model is allocated to five international mutual funds. If 3 of the 6 indicators are “risk on”, then 50% of the Model allocates to international stock mutual funds while the other 50% allocates to money market.
When the Model allocates to international stock mutual funds, it utilizes the following (quarterly) strategy:
Begin with a starting universe of all international stock mutual funds that are NTF (no transaction fee) on most of our members’ platforms
Sort by 17-month exponential price momentum and select the top 20%
Sort the remaining mutual funds by long term technical indicators and select the top 5
The model reconstitutes every Feb, May, Aug, and Nov.
Benefits of International Mutual Fund Risk On / Risk Off strategies
Utilizing a "Risk-On/Risk-Off" investment strategy, where the approach toggles between international stock mutual funds (risk-on) and money market funds (risk-off) depending on market conditions, can offer several potential benefits:
Diversification: By alternating between international stock mutual funds and money markets, investors can benefit from asset diversification. International stocks can provide exposure to various economies and sectors, whereas money markets provide a stable, low-risk investment.
Market Adaptability: This strategy enables advisors to respond to changing market conditions. During a risk-on phase, investors can take advantage of growth opportunities in international markets. In a risk-off phase, they can protect their capital during market downturns by shifting to more secure assets such as money market funds.
Advisors can manage risk exposure by switching between higher-risk and lower-risk assets. This is especially useful for those who prefer to actively manage risk rather than maintain a constant risk level.
Winning by Losing Less: When markets are bullish, international stocks often offer higher return potential than more conservative investments. Investors can potentially increase their returns by investing in stocks during these times.
Capital Preservation: When markets are volatile or bearish, moving assets to money market funds can help preserve capital. These funds are typically more stable and less vulnerable to market fluctuations.
Maximizing Opportunities: By investing in international stocks during market upswings, investors can maximize opportunities for growth. In contrast, they minimize losses by shifting to money markets during downturns.
Emotional Balance: This approach can provide investors with peace of mind if they are concerned about market volatility. Anxiety can be reduced by knowing there is a plan in place to switch to safer investments during downturns.
The primary risks of any "Risk-On/Risk-Off" investment strategy include reliance on the accuracy and timeliness of technical indicators and potential lag in responding to market changes.